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Authors: Mark Privratsky & Matt Privratsky
Caroline Birdsell and Elizabeth Overberg (Photo: Sage Zipeto)
Fall is officially here! We can wear layers, gorgeous leaves are changing color and most importantly, college soccer playoffs are upon us. For D1 Minnesotans, we have a year with a lot of postseason potential -- with multiple teams still in the chase for postseason opportunities. The Gophers are back in the Big Ten Tournament after missing out last year, with a real chance to be in the NCAAs (maybe even host...?). North Dakota State has taken it a level up this year and are fighting with their fierce rivals SDSU for the rights to bypass the opening round of the Summit League Tournament and host the semis and finals. We've got huge players on huge teams like #2 Wake Forest, #4 UNC, #7 Notre Dame, #11 Iowa and #15 Penn State who know they're in the NCAA Tourney, and we've got players on teams that are good but likely need to win their tournament like Montana, Army, or the Summit League squads. With conference tournaments kicking off next week, including the Big Ten Tournament in Saint Paul, check out some sources postseason predictions and catch up on our 124 (and counting) public player tracker for 2024. Who's in the NCAA Tournament already?
Clare Gagne (Photo: UNC)
While most teams needs to rely on winning their conference tournament to get to the NCAA's, a good number get picked based on an "at large" status, which can be a bit mysterious sometimes. This year, as always, we are relying on some other independent soccer journalists, along with the traditional RPI from the NCAA, to predict a National Tournament field that is becoming clearer and clearer. Specifically, I'm trusting Chris Henderson, who you should be following on Twitter already (@chris_awk), who is constantly updating his modeled predictions for the Tourney. He's one of the few people who do data work in womens soccer that we are aware of! We've also utilized the work of Christopher Thomas (@CPThomas2611 on Twitter) who similarly models postseason at large predictions, something that has been helpful for us in having real conversations about postseason potential. Check them out for a steady stream of data work in the game!
I listed Chris Hendersons most recent bracket prediction from this week below. In the ACC, UNC (Clare Gagne, Maddie Dahlien), Wake Forest (Payton Cahill), and Notre Dame (Izzy Engle) look safe. In the BI 12, TCU (former Gopher Megan Plaschko) are in. The Big Ten added some successful programs from the Pac 12 (USC and UCLA are in 1st and 2nd as of now) and the boost in strength of schedule league wide looks to have paid off, with a projected 10 bids coming from the new super league to top the nation. Minnesota is predicted to be making a return after a half decade, with a chance to improve their standing with a regular season closer versus Iowa. Wisconsin is looking to be in with their squad of MNs (Ishaug, Andringa, Poor, Jacobson, Gilliand), along with Iowa (Berit Parten, Maya Hansen) and Penn State (Kaitlyn MacBean). Other squads with a MN presence but likely in need of a conference tournament win include Montana (Bayliss Flynn), the entire Summit League race, Milwaukee (Ashlyn Derosier), and handful of others with an outside shot. Partial credit to FGCU (Gopher alum Alli Kempainen on staff), Utah State (MN Aurora FC legend Addy Symmonds), FIU (Cat and Eli Rapp), and a super deep cut for Utah Valley and a former Gopher from waaaaay back in 2019 Manthy Brady. Army (the Pohlidal sisters, Hecht, and Wamre) still with a real conference tournament path as well -- even if they're no longer favored on paper. 
Gophers Clinch Big Ten Conference Spot, look to NCAA's
Paige Kalal (Photo: Kelly Hagenson, U of M)
It's been a few years but the Golden Gophers of MN are locked in the Big Ten Tournament with a game against Iowa still to come this Sunday prior to the Big Ten Tournament at ELR next week. The expansion of the BIG to 18, including newcomers USC (1st), UCLA (2nd), Washington (6th) and Oregon, the competition level ratcheted up, but with it came a new 10 team (used to be 8) conference tournament. Minnesota has seized on that opportunity and now play a very good Iowa squad this Sunday (1pm, BTN+) with a fighting chance at a top 6 seed and first round bye (Oregon has to upset Washington, MN has to win, and Ohio State and Penn State need to tie...). Iowa has been having a very strong year and will be a big test ahead of postseason play. While the Gophers are in a good place when it comes to at large selection, you can bet they want to both build momentum and potentially earn themselves an easier postseason road ahead (maybe even a first round seeded home matchup in the NCAAs...). Of note for the Gophers is the amount of players who play 90 minutes a game, including locals Sophia Boman, Sarah Martin, Jelena Zbilic, Ashley Thurk and Khyah Harper, all pretty much going to the distance as part of the depended-upon core for Coach Erin Chastain.
Big Ten Tournament in Saint Paul Oct 31st - Nov 2nd
Player Tracker
Catch up on our nationwide tracking of Minnesotans playing D1 soccer. This week highlighted by the best assisters from the Gopher state, lead by Paige Kalal with 9, her teammate Khyah Harrper and Katharine Jones of SDSU. Check out our player tracker here, and let us know if you have any feedback! Catch up on our weekly Equal Time episodes!
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